Skin Chooser

TheWhiz
PPR By The Numbers Print E-mail
Written by Chris Fries   
Saturday, 09 June 2007

In the early days of fantasy football, leagues usually used very simple scoring rules – the standard was 6 points for TDs and maybe, if a league was particularly adventurous, a 3-point scoring bonus for a player who broke 100 yards rushing or receiving, or 300 yards passing.  This limited scoring was typically used because all the calculations were done by hand.  League commissioners compiled scoring results from NFL box scores in their paper each week and distributed them to the league. It was just too much work to add in extra scoring options.

But the evolution of computerized scoring and internet leagues with sophisticated websites has led to a much wider range of scoring rules. Customizable scoring built from almost every NFL stat has now become the norm, and TD-only leagues seem archaic and incomplete.  Fantasy football’s “standard offensive scoring” is now typically 6 points for TDs, 0.1 point for every rushing and receiving yard, and 0.04 points for passing yards.  In addition, interceptions, fumbles, return yardage, and numerous defensive scoring rules are added to create a much more involved fantasy football experience.  These expanded rules have allowed much deeper rosters and led to much higher scoring fantasy games. 

However, in spite of expanded scoring rules, one thing has remained pretty constant since the old days:  The dominance of Running Backs. 

In most leagues, the top scoring players are usually Running Backs and Quarterbacks.  QBs are typically used as only one starter per team, so there is enough depth at the QB slot and less demand for these players relative to their high scoring.  But RBs are usually started as two per team, and often three if an offensive flex slot is used.  This makes their value extremely high, and RB scoring can often make or break a fantasy team.  So leagues usually see RBs go fast and furious in every draft, either in a redraft league or a dynasty league’s yearly rookie draft.  Their high-scoring potential and their high demand makes RBs simply too valuable to pass up.

In an effort to create more scoring balance among the positions and to increase the value of WRs and TEs relative to the dominant RBs, one scoring rule that is becoming more commonly used is the “Point-Per-Reception” (PPR) rule:  One point is added to a player’s score for every pass they catch.  Pretty simple. 

PPR Debate

 

But this simple PPR addition has generated a large amount of debate among fantasy football fans.  Proponents of the rule usually state that it makes a league fairer by leveling the playing field and creating more high-scoring “difference-makers” for a FF owner to choose from.  By increasing the scoring value of WRs and TEs it is intended to counter-act the importance of RBs.  But there is even debate here:  Some feel that the PPR rule should only be applied to WRs and TEs so as to not also increase scoring for the already dominant RBs, but the counter argument is that PPR actually helps to add RB depth by making second-tier 3rd-down RBs and pass-catching FBs more valuable, ultimately providing the fantasy owner with more viable RB options.

Opponents of the PPR debate feel that it is “double-dipping” – receptions already score points based on their yardage, so why add an extra point for just catching the ball?  Some claim it is also unrealistic since the NFL doesn’t award points for catches – it is the yardage that really counts and why should a catch that could lead to negative yardage still be rewarded with a point?  They also say that the PPR rule is unfair – QBs don’t get a point for every completion and players don’t get a point for each carry, so why should a point be awarded for each catch?

Across FF forums the PPR debate rages on, but love it or hate it, there is no doubt that the PPR rule is gaining headway as more and more leagues take advantage of expanded scoring opportunities, and also try to increase the number of players who can make a difference to a roster.  In the Whiz’s own Badlands dynasty leagues which start this year, a PPR rule will be included. 

But as with any FF rule, the debate over should it be used becomes moot once the league begins, and the much more important thing is to instead fully understand the ramifications of the rule to be able to take full advantage of it.  So with that in mind, let’s take some time to break down the Whiz’s Badlands scoring both with and without the PPR rule to see what the impact really is.

Into the Numbers

 

To get some data to be able to analyze, I put together a spreadsheet of a collection of 2006 statistics on passing, rushing, receiving, returns, kicking, and defense from cutting and pasting together team statistics data available on the web.  I then combined these individual categories for each player and calculated Badlands scores, both with and without PPR.  Note that these results wouldn’t exactly be the same as real Badlands results, since no stats were included for fumble recoveries (number, return yards, or return TDs), 2-point plays, or safeties; and some rounding assumptions were made for field goals (for example, FGs in the “30-39” yard category were given an average of 3.5 pts for 35 yards).  But to be able to compare scores with and without PPR, these approximated 2006 scores should be fine.

So with the numbers calculated, we can start with a list of the top 50 overall scoring players without the PPR rule added in.  The table below lists the top 50 overall scorers in order with their score (without PPR) and their overall rank.  I’ve also added a column showing the rank among all players of the same position:

Last Name

 

First Name

 

Pos

 

Team

 

Badlands Score       (no PPR)

 

Overall Rank

 

Position Rank

 

Tomlinson

 

LaDainian

 

RB

 

SDC

 

429.10

 

1

 

1

 

Manning

 

Peyton

 

QB

 

IND

 

371.48

 

2

 

1

 

Johnson

 

Larry

 

RB

 

KCC

 

334.40

 

3

 

2

 

Jackson

 

Steven

 

RB

 

STL

 

326.90

 

4

 

3

 

Brees

 

Drew

 

QB

 

NOS

 

311.92

 

5

 

2

 

Palmer

 

Carson

 

QB

 

CIN

 

311.60

 

6

 

3

 

Vick

 

Michael

 

QB

 

ATL

 

304.96

 

7

 

4

 

Bulger

 

Marc

 

QB

 

STL

 

303.94

 

8

 

5

 

Kitna

 

Jon

 

QB

 

DET

 

279.92

 

9

 

6

 

Brady

 

Tom

 

QB

 

NEP

 

269.36

 

10

 

7

 

Gore

 

Frank

 

RB

 

SFO

 

266.50

 

11

 

4

 

Parker

 

Willie

 

RB

 

PIT

 

259.10

 

12

 

5

 

Westbrook

 

Brian

 

RB

 

PHI

 

257.05

 

13

 

6

 

Jones-Drew

 

Maurice

 

RB

 

JAC

 

255.35

 

14

 

7

 

Rivers

 

Philip

 

QB

 

SDC

 

254.42

 

15

 

8

 

Barber

 

Tiki

 

RB

 

NYG

 

252.70

 

16

 

8

 

Ryans

 

DeMeco

 

LB

 

HOU

 

240.10

 

17

 

1

 

McNabb

 

Donovan

 

QB

 

PHI

 

239.08

 

18

 

9

 

Manning

 

Eli

 

QB

 

NYG

 

237.86

 

19

 

10

 

Favre

 

Brett

 

QB

 

GBP

 

234.30

 

20

 

11

 

Fletcher

 

London

 

LB

 

BUF

 

232.25

 

21

 

2

 

Young

 

Vince

 

QB

 

TEN

 

230.16

 

22

 

12

 

Thomas

 

Zach

 

LB

 

MIA

 

228.60

 

23

 

3

 

Losman

 

J.P.

 

QB

 

BUF

 

227.54

 

24

 

13

 

Roethlisberger

 

Ben

 

QB

 

PIT

 

223.82

 

25

 

14

 

Grossman

 

Rex

 

QB

 

CHI

 

223.02

 

26

 

15

 

Briggs

 

Lance

 

LB

 

CHI

 

216.05

 

27

 

4

 

Romo

 

Tony

 

QB

 

DAL

 

215.82

 

28

 

16

 

Edwards

 

Donnie

 

LB

 

SDC

 

215.10

 

29

 

5

 

Pennington

 

Chad

 

QB

 

NYJ

 

214.98

 

30

 

17

 

Johnson

 

Rudi

 

RB

 

CIN

 

211.30

 

31

 

9

 

McNair

 

Steve

 

QB

 

BAL

 

209.90

 

32

 

18

 

Bulluck

 

Keith

 

LB

 

TEN

 

209.00

 

33

 

6

 

Hope

 

Chris

 

DB

 

TEN

 

209.00

 

34

 

1

 

Bailey

 

Champ

 

DB

 

DEN

 

207.20

 

35

 

2

 

Pierce

 

Antonio

 

LB

 

NYG

 

207.10

 

36

 

7

 

Harrison

 

Marvin

 

WR

 

IND

 

206.60

 

37

 

1

 

Smith

 

Alex

 

QB

 

SFO

 

204.80

 

38

 

19

 

June

 

Cato

 

LB

 

IND

 

203.90

 

39

 

8

 

Urlacher

 

Brian

 

LB

 

CHI

 

203.05

 

40

 

9

 

Owens

 

Terrell

 

WR

 

DAL

 

200.50

 

41

 

2

 

Wilson

 

Adrian

 

DB

 

ARI

 

196.10

 

42

 

3

 

Morrison

 

Kirk

 

LB

 

OAK

 

194.70

 

43

 

10

 

Barber

 

Ronde

 

DB

 

TBB

 

194.15

 

44

 

4

 

Scott

 

Bart

 

LB

 

BAL

 

193.85